In depth discussion of trends in Baccarat

[David1977]

The mass market of Baccarat players uses trends to try to out smart every shoe. What are trends? How can they be useful. If trends are useful, how come people lose? I know these things better because I worked on both sides of the table. The winners are players who can learn the art of ANTICIPATING trends. After a trend occurs its tough to follow through because they might changed or they might not sustained. Many players claimed that they follow trends and when the shoe is choppy, they will take a break. A very true statement BUT talk is cheap, they did not do what they say they will do.

Examine this example: PP BBBB P B PP. Very common in a Baccarat shoe. You will be surprised that a lot of people actually loses 4 hands in a row when this occurs. After no action on first 2 hands ( PP ) comes BBB ( still no action) and bet B and won then bet B again and lost. Because the last time P repeats, therefore bet P and lost again. Next bet is B because the previous B repeats and lost again. NOw you see a 3 chop and follow the chop and bet B and lost again because P repeats. The whole thing will be PP BBBB P B PP but the betting outcome will be - - - - - W L L L L.
If you were to present this patch of outcomes to any person, they will say no way I am losing 4 hands in a row. I would have done this and that and won instead. So do systems sellers. They will come out with something to beat the tester book and claim that it will work.

Think deeper. The edge in Baccarat is slightly over 1% in the house's favor BUT the hold for the game of Baccarat for the House is 14%.

 

[chillseph1023]

Yes I understand completely your point of view and have seen myself how tricky and unpredictable some shoes can be.But the real reason why most people lose at baccarat tables is BETTING TOO OFTEN!!!and betting on a new shoe with absolutely no trend as a guide.In my opinion a successful baccarat player must have extreme patience!!and the ability if necessary to bet only two or three times in an entire shoe.Most people might think this view is ridiculous but believe me it works.Money management is also the key.People often win a few rows then get confident and up there stake to a greedy amount only to lose all the profit.Yes you have to press your bets in baccarat as flat betting will lead to disaster but only when there is a very high chance with a strong trend should it be done.